Abstract
BackgroundThe data on biomarkers as predictors of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) are limited. MethodsA total of 1946 patients with CAD were recruited to the ARTEMIS study. At baseline, the study patients underwent clinical and echocardiographic examinations and had laboratory tests. The patients (n=1710) with the information about the occurrence of new-onset AF during the follow-up were included in the present analysis. ResultsDuring 5.7±1.5years of follow-up, 143 (8.4%) patients developed a new-onset AF. Higher values of soluble ST2 (sST2) (20.2±10.8 vs. 17.5±7.2ng/mL, p=0.005), high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT) (11.9±10.2 vs. 10.3±8.3ng/L, p=0.005), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) (3.3±5.9 vs. 2.0±4.4mg/L, p<0.001) and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) (85.6±77.5 vs. 64.9±73.5ng/L, p<0.001) had significant associations with the occurrence of new-onset AF. In the Cox clinical hazards model, higher age (p=0.004), greater weight (p=0.045), larger left atrial diameter (p=0.001), use of asthma/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease medication (p=0.001) and lack of cholesterol lowering medication (p=0.008) had a significant association with the increased risk of AF. When the biomarkers were tested in the Cox clinical hazards model, sST2 (HR=1.025, 95% CI=1.007–1.043, p=0.006) and hs-CRP (HR=1.027, 95% CI=1.008–1.047, p=0.006) retained their significant power in predicting AF. ConclusionA biomarker of fibrosis, sST2, and a biomarker of inflammation, hs-CRP, predict the risk of occurrence of new-onset AF in patients with CAD. These biomarkers contributed to the discrimination of the AF risk model, but did not improve it markedly.
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