Abstract

This study aimed to assess the impact of diabetic retinopathy (DR) severity on the incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in T1D patients. Patients diagnosed with T1D between 1999 and 2013 were identified from patient-level data of Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research database. A total of 1135 patients were included and classified into mild DR (n = 454), severe DR (n = 227), or non-DR (n = 454) by using propensity score matching. Multi-state model analyses, an extension of competing risk models with adjustment for transition-specific covariates for prediction of subsequent MACE and ESRD, were performed. MACE and ESRD risks were significantly higher in the severe DR patients; a 2.97-fold (1.73, 5.07) and 12.29-fold (6.50, 23.23) increase in the MACE risk among the severe DR patients compared to the mild DR and DR-free patients, respectively; and, a 5.91-fold (3.50, 9.99) and 82.31-fold (29.07, 233.04) greater ESRD risk of severe DR patients than that of the mild DR and DR-free groups, respectively (p < 0.001). Severity of DR was significantly associated with the late diabetes-related vascular events (i.e., MACE, ESRD) among T1D patients.

Highlights

  • This study aimed to assess the impact of diabetic retinopathy (DR) severity on the incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in Type 1 diabetes (T1D) patients

  • There were no significant differences in comorbidities, Charlson’s comorbidity index (CCI), and diabetes duration between the severe DR, mild DR, and DR-free groups after the matching

  • This study is the first to examine the effect of DR severity on MACE and ESRD in a T1D patient population with applying advanced multi-state model analyses to gain more biological insights in the disease process of a patient

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Summary

Introduction

This study aimed to assess the impact of diabetic retinopathy (DR) severity on the incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in T1D patients. Severity of DR was significantly associated with the late diabetes-related vascular events (i.e., MACE, ESRD) among T1D patients. Using a large populationbased T1D cohort in Taiwan, we have previously reported the long-term risk of ESRD and associated mortality among T1D patients across all a­ ges[3,16] and details of the cumulative incidences of various vascular complications in this p­ opulation[17]. We further applied advanced multi-state model analyses to explore the impact of DR severity on long-term risks of ESRD and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) among patients with T1D by utilizing a nation-wide population-based T1D patient cohort

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