Abstract

Several biomarkers of inflammation and coagulation were reported to be associated with HIV disease progression in different settings. In this article, we report the association between 11 biomarkers and medium-term mortality in HIV-infected West African adults. In Temprano ANRS 12136, antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naive HIV-infected adults with high CD4 counts were randomly assigned either to start ART immediately or defer ART until the World Health Organization criteria were met. Participants who completed the 30-month trial follow-up were invited to participate in a posttrial phase. The posttrial phase end point was all-cause death. We used multivariate Cox proportional models to analyze the association between baseline plasma biomarkers [IL-1ra, IL-6, soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule 1 (sVCAM-1), sCD14, D-dimer, fibrinogen, IP-10, sCD163, albumin, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and 16S rDNA] and all-cause death in the Temprano participants randomized to defer ART. Four hundred seventy-seven patients (median age 35 years, 78% women, and median CD4 count: 379 cells/mm) were randomly assigned to defer starting ART until the World Health Organization criteria were met. The participants were followed for 2646 person-years (median 5.8 years). In the follow-up, 89% of participants started ART and 30 died. In the multivariate analysis adjusted for the study center, sex, baseline CD4 count, isoniazid preventive therapy, plasma HIV-1 RNA, peripheral blood mononuclear cell HIV-1 DNA, and ART, the risk of death was significantly associated with baseline sVCAM-1 (≥1458 vs. <1458: adjusted hazard ratio 2.57, 95% confidence interval: 1.13 to 5.82) and sCD14 (≥2187 vs. <2187: adjusted hazard ratio 2.79, interquartile range 1.29-6.02) levels. In these sub-Saharan African adults with high CD4 counts, pre-ART plasma sVCAM-1 and sCD14 levels were independently associated with mortality.

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