Abstract

We investigated the time-varying association between parity and timing of natural menopause, surgical menopause, and premenopausal hysterectomy among 23,728 women aged 40-65 years at enrollment in the Alberta's Tomorrow Project cohort study (2000-2022), using flexible parametric survival analysis. Overall, natural menopause was most common by study end (57.2%), followed by premenopausal hysterectomy (11.4%) and surgical menopause (5.3%). Risks of natural menopause before age 50 years were elevated for 0 births (adjusted hazard ratio at age 45: 1.33, 95% CI 1.18-1.49) and 1 birth (age 45: 1.21, 1.07-1.38), but similar for ≥3 births (age 45: 0.95, 0.85-1.06), compared to 2 births (reference). Elevated risks of surgical menopause before age 45 years for 0 births (age 40: 1.37, 1.09-1.69) and 1 birth (age 40: 1.11, 0.85-1.45) attenuated when excluding women with past infertility or recurrent pregnancy loss, and reduced risks were observed over time for ≥3 births (age 50: 0.84, 0.75-0.94). Risks of premenopausal hysterectomy were lower before age 50 years for 0 births (age 45: 0.82, 0.76-0.88) but elevated after age 40 years for ≥3 births (age 50: 1.25, 1.08-1.45). These complex associations necessitate additional research on the sociobiological impacts of childbearing on gynecologic health.

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