Abstract

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the association of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) with an elevated risk of vascular access failure in end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients undergoing hemodialysis. A comprehensive database search of MEDLINE (via PubMed), Scopus, and Cochrane Central was performed. Studies reporting the values of NLR in both functional and non-functional AVF groups in ESRD patients were selected. Quality assessment was performed using the Modified Newcastle-Ottawa scale for observational studies. Meta-analysis was performed using an inverse variance random effects model. Seven observational studies met the inclusion criteria, including 1313 participants with 554 cases and 759 controls. Pooled results showed significantly high NLR levels in patients with non-functional arteriovenous fistula (AVF) compared to functional AVF (SMD = 1.19, 95% CI = 0.74-1.65, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis confirmed the consistency of the association between NLR and AVF failure across study design (SMD = 1.76, 95% CI = 0.78-2.73, p = 0.0004 in prospective vs SMD = 0.87, 95% CI = 0.42-1.32, p = 0.0001 in retrospective studies), etiology (SMD = 1.63, 95% CI = 0.75-2.52, p = 0.0003 in stenosis or thrombosis; and SMD = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.27-1.34, p = 0.003 in failure to mature of AVF), and NLR measurement timing (SMD = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.42-1.54, p = 0.0006 in preoperative vs SMD = 1.58, 95% CI = 0.47-2.69, p = 0.005 in postoperative NLR). The pooled odds ratio revealed high NLR values as a significant predictor of AVF failure in ESRD patients (OR = 3.91, 95% CI = 1.91-7.98, p = 0.0002). The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 89.72% (95% CI = 77.51%-95.67%) and 72.95% (95% CI = 63.82%-80.47%), respectively. The high NLR is a useful and predictive marker for AVF failure in hemodialysis patients. Future studies should prioritize larger cohort studies to validate and reinforce these observations.

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