Abstract

Aortic stiffness, as assessed by carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity, is an independent predictor of future events in individuals with hypertension. Recent data suggest a predictive role of estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV) calculated by previously published equations using age and blood pressure in future events in individuals with hypertension. To investigate whether ePWV and its response to treatment predict survival in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT). This exploratory, hypothesis-generating, post hoc secondary analysis conducted from October 1, 2018, to August 31, 2019, examined data from 9361 participants in SPRINT and calculated ePWV at baseline and at 12 months. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs of ePWV per 1 SD were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. A total of 8450 patients were assigned to 4 groups according to their treatment allocation and their response in ePWV after 12 months. Participants were assigned a systolic blood pressure target of less than 120 mm Hg (intensive treatment) or less than 140 mm Hg (standard treatment). The primary composite cardiovascular outcome was myocardial infarction, other acute coronary syndromes, stroke, heart failure, or death from cardiovascular causes. In the SPRINT population (3332 women and 6029 men; mean [SD] age, 67.9 [9.4] years), ePWV predicted the primary outcome (HR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.17-1.43]; P < .001) and all-cause death (HR, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.46-1.86]; P < .001) independent of the Framingham Risk Score. Estimated pulse wave velocity improved the C statistic model for the primary outcome from 0.676 (95% CI, 0.65-0.70) to 0.683 (95% CI, 0.66-0.71; P = .049) and improved the C statistic model for all-cause death from 0.67 (95% CI, 0.64-0.69) to 0.69 (95% CI, 0.66-0.72; P = .03). Net reclassification index indicated improvement in risk discrimination for survival compared with the Framingham Risk Score (categorical net reclassification index = 0.111; P < .001). Regarding response to treatment, intensive treatment was superior to standard treatment only when it was accompanied with a response in ePWV at the first year, while, within the standard treatment group, individuals whose ePWV responded to antihypertensive treatment had improved all-cause mortality, with a 42% lower risk of death compared with nonresponders (HR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.36-0.94]; P = .03); effects were independent of changes in systolic blood pressure. These results suggest that, in the SPRINT trial, ePWV predicted outcomes independent of the Framingham Risk Score, indicating an incremental role of markers of aortic stiffness on cardiovascular risk. Better survival of individuals whose ePWV responded to antihypertensive treatment independently of systolic blood pressure reduction suggests a role of markers of aortic stiffness as effective treatment targets in individuals with hypertension.

Highlights

  • Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the major causes of death worldwide, and increased blood pressure (BP) is the most potent modifiable risk factor for CVD.[1]

  • Net reclassification index indicated improvement in risk discrimination for survival compared with the Framingham Risk Score

  • Intensive treatment was superior to standard treatment only when it was accompanied with a response in estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV) at the first year, while, within the standard treatment group, individuals whose ePWV responded to antihypertensive treatment had improved all-cause mortality, with a 42% lower risk of death compared with nonresponders (HR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.36-0.94]; P = .03); effects were independent of changes in systolic blood pressure

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Summary

Introduction

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the major causes of death worldwide, and increased blood pressure (BP) is the most potent modifiable risk factor for CVD.[1]. The most robust and well-studied marker of aortic stiffness, the carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV), has shown an incremental predictive value for future cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality beyond classical risk scores and BP, which is the main modifiable determinant of aortic stiffness.[7,8] there is limited evidence suggesting that elevated cfPWV is associated with the poor response of BP to BP-lowering drugs[9] and that cfPWV regression is associated with improved survival.[10]

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