Association of Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Trajectories with Atrial Fibrillation Risk in Populations with Normal or Mildly Impaired Renal Function

Abstract

Plain Language SummaryThe relation between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) within the normal or mildly impaired range and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in former studies is controversial, and data on longitudinal pattern of eGFR in such topic is sparse. In this cohort study, we identified 4 trajectories of eGFR in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function. Relative to populations with high-stable pattern of eGFR, those with low-stable pattern, high-decreasing pattern and moderate-increasing pattern were associated with 128%, 92%, and 70% higher risk of AF, respectively. These findings suggested that monitoring eGFR trajectories is an important approach for AF prediction in populations with normal or mildly impaired renal function. Decreasing and consistently low eGFR trajectories within the currently designated normal or mildly impaired range may still significantly increase the risk of AF.