Association of Central Blood Pressure and Carotid Intima Media Thickness with New-Onset Hypertension in People with High Normal Blood Pressure.

Abstract

People with high normal blood pressure (BP) have a higher risk of cardiovascular events than those with normal BP; therefore, progression to hypertension (HT) should be prevented. We aimed to assess the HT risk using central BP and carotid intima media thickness (CIMT) in people with high normal BP. This prospective cohort study used the Tohoku Medical Megabank Community-Based Project Cohort Study (conducted from 2013 in Miyagi Prefecture in Japan). The participants had a high normal BP, defined as a systolic BP of 120-139 mmHg and diastolic BP ＜90 mmHg using brachial BP measurement during the baseline survey. The outcome was new-onset HT during the secondary survey, conducted four years after the baseline survey. Overall, 4,021 participants with high normal BP during the baseline survey, with an average age of 58.7 years, were included; 1,030 (26%) were diagnosed with new-onset HT during the secondary survey, 3.5±0.7 years after the baseline survey. The multivariable odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for HT in the highest versus lowest quartile of central BP was 1.7 (1.2-2.4, p=0.0030), and that of CIMT was 1.8 (1.4-2.4, p＜0.001). Subgroup analysis according to age (＜60 and ≥ 60 years) and sex revealed that the central BP was influential in groups with younger age and female individuals; CIMT was influential in all groups. Higher central BP and thicker CIMT at the baseline were correlated with new-onset HT in individuals with high normal BP, independent of brachial systolic BP and other cardiovascular risk factors.