Association of baseline hand grip strength and annual change in hand grip strength with mortality among older people

Abstract

BackgroundClinicians have increasing access to longitudinal data on hand grip strength (HGS), often measured for frailty or sarcopenia assessment, of their older clients. Evidence on the association of change in HGS with mortality is mixed. We investigated whether baseline hand grip strength (HGS) and annual change in HGS are associated with mortality among older Singaporeans. MethodsData from a national longitudinal survey (3 waves: 2009, 2011 and 2015) of older people (≥60 years) in Singapore was utilized. All-cause mortality, until end-December 2015, was assessed primarily from administrative databases. Two datasets, with 4446 (Dataset 1: baseline HGS with mortality) and 2673 (Dataset 2: annual change in HGS with mortality) participants, with maximum follow-up time of 7 and 4.6 years respectively, were derived from the survey data. Associations of interest were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models. Results835 (18.8%) and 317 (11.9%) participants died during follow-up, with mean survival times of 3.6 and 2.6 years, in Dataset 1 and 2 respectively. The likelihood of mortality was lower by 4% (Hazard Ratio [95% Confidence Interval]: 0.96 [0.94-0.97]) for each unit (kilogram) increase in baseline HGS, and by 13% (0.87 [0.82-0.93]) for each kg increase in HGS over 1-year. ConclusionsHigher (alternatively, lower) baseline HGS and an increase (alternatively, decrease) in HGS over 1-year were associated with lower (alternatively, higher) likelihood of all-cause mortality among community-dwelling older people. There is clinical value, for assessing the risk of mortality, of both the cross-sectional and longitudinal measurement of HGS among older people.