Abstract

237 Background: AA/P is an approved treatment for mCRPC but there are no known predictive markers of response or resistance. We conducted a prospective trial to evaluate if Androgen Receptor (AR) & AR-variant (ARV) expression in tissue metastases can predict resistance to AA/P. Methods: mCRPC stage patients (pts) initiating pre-chemo AA/P underwent metastatic site biopsies prior to (pre-AA/P) and after 12 weeks of treatment. Composite progression at 12 weeks, (primary endpoint) was evaluated with PSA, RECIST, bone scan and symptoms (per PCWG2). mRNA expressions of pre-AA/P ARFL, ARV3, ARV7, ARV9, ARV23, ARV45, four cell cycle division genes, Chromogranin-A (CHGA) together with PSA/testosterone levels, Gleason Score (GS) at initial diagnosis; high versus low volume disease; time from starting hormone therapy to mCRPC stage and serum CHGA levels were evaluated using a logistic regression model for predicting resistance at 12 weeks of therapy. A final multivariate model fitted only those factors thought to be clinically relevant or with an entry threshold of p ≤ 0.3 in univariate analysis. Results: Between 6/2013 & 3/2015, 82 pts were enrolled of which 52 had complete mRNA expression & disease assessment data at the12-week time point for analysis. Median age of the cohort was 72.5 yrs (IQR: 68.5-78); median pre-AA/P PSA was 18 ng/ml (IQR: 8.1- 46.6); GS distribution at initial diagnosis for GS 2-6; 7; 8-10 was 11; 14; 27 respectively. Progression was observed in 21/52 pts after 12 weeks. At the univariate level elevated pre-AA/P expression of ARV3 (p = 0.08), ARV7 (p = 0.26), ARV9 (p = 0.04), and cell division cycle gene CDC45 (p = 0.19) along with GS at diagnosis (p = 0.29) met the threshold for inclusion into multivariate analysis. Elevated expression of pre-therapy ARV9 in metastases alone was associated with progression at 12 weeks (OR: 3.9; CI 1.07 – 14.16; C-Index: 0.63). The 12-week biopsy of pts with progression had increased ARV9 mRNA expression compared to pts responding at 12 weeks (p = 0.14). Conclusions: Increased ARV9 mRNA expression in metastases is associated with early resistance to AA/P. This observation will need further validation in comparable datasets. Clinical trial information: NCT #0195364.

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