Association between Wrist Circumference and Risk of Any Fracture in Adults: Findings from 15 Years of Follow-Up in the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study.

Abstract

We evaluated whether wrist circumference (WrC), as a novel anthropometric measure, is associated with incidences of any fractures. The study population included 8288 adults (45.3% men) aged ≥30 years, who were followed for incidences of any fractures from 31 January 1999 to 16 March 2016. We used Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for well-known risk factors to evaluate the association of WrC, both as continuous and categorical variables (bottom tertile as reference), with incidences of any fractures and major osteoporotic fractures (MOF). Over 15 years of follow-ups, 348 fractures occurred (men = 162). For a 1 cm increase in WrC, hazard ratios (HRs) were 1.18 (95% CI: 1.03-1.35) for incident any fractures and 1.22 (1.01-1.49) for incident MOF. In addition to WrC, age, female sex, lower BMI, higher WC, current smoking, and usage of steroidal medications were significantly associated with the incidences of any fractures. Moreover, participants in the middle and top tertiles of WrC had a higher risk of incidence for any fractures [HR = 1.62 (1.19-2.20) and 1.70 (1.14-2.55), respectively, p-value for trend = 0.012]. We presented WrC as a strong and independent risk factor for incidences of any fractures that might be considered in the risk prediction of bone fracture in Iranian adults.