Association between remnant cholesterol and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation

Abstract

It remains unclear if remnant cholesterol is associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) (myocardial infarction, angina pectoris and stroke), heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF) under primary prevention settings. We aimed to clarify this issue among a general population without a history of ASCVD, HF or AF. Analyses were conducted with a nationwide health claims database collected in the JMDC Claims Database between 2005 and 2022 (n = 1,313,722; median age, 42 years; 54.6% men). We assessed the associations between remnant cholesterol calculated as total cholesterol minus HDL cholesterol minus LDL cholesterol and composite CVD outcomes, including, ASCVD, HF, and AF using Cox proportional hazard model, dividing the individuals into tertiles of remnant cholesterol (T1-T3). The mean follow-up duration was 3.0 years. In total, 43,755 events were recorded. Remnant cholesterol was significantly associated with composite CVD outcomes after adjustments (T3 vs T1: hazard ratio [HR]; 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.10, p-trend<0.001). Remnant cholesterol was associated with myocardial infarction (T3 vs T1:HR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.06-1.34, p-trend=0.002), angina pectoris (T3 vs T1:HR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.05-1.14, p-trend<0.001), stroke (T3 vs T1:HR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.02-1.14, p-trend=0.007), and HF (T3 vs T1:HR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.04-1.12, p-trend<0.001), while we found a marginal inverse association between remnant cholesterol and AF (T3 vs T1:HR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.86-1.00, p-trend=0.054). Remnant cholesterol was positively associated with ASCVD and HF, while we found a marginal inverse association between remnant cholesterol and AF.