Association between ethnicity and kidney transplant waitlist outcomes beyond estimated post‐transplant survival score

Abstract

White kidney transplant candidates have the highest pre-transplant mortality rate compared to other ethnicities. The reason for a higher mortality rate is not well-understood. Estimated post-transplant survival (EPTS) score has been used to predict patient survival after transplant and may be associated with pre-transplant survival. First-time kidney transplant candidates listed between 2015 and 2018 were identified from the Organ Procurement Transplantation Network database. Individuals listed for multiple organs, at multiple centers, and age <18years were excluded. We examined the impact of ethnicity on waitlist mortality and delisting. A total of 114806 candidates were included. The study population was categorized into four groups which were 43% white, 28% Black, 19.2% Hispanic, and 9.8% "other ethnicities." At 5.2years, the cumulative incidences of death and delist were 32%, 31%, 29%, and 26%, respectively. Compared to whites, adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (aSHR) for death and delist among Black, Hispanics, and "other ethnicities" were 0.92 (95% CI 0.89-0.95), 0.89 (95% CI 0.85-0.91), and 0.76 (95% CI 0.72-0.80) after adjustment by EPTS along with other factors, respectively. After adjusting for EPTS score along with additional confounding factors and functional status at initial listing, white ethnicity was independently associated with an increased risk for death and delist.