Association between carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity and overall cardiovascular risk score assessed by the SCORE system in urban Polish population.

Abstract

The Systemic COronary Risk Estimation (SCORE) system is recommended for the assessment of cardiovascular disease (CVD) death risk in individuals free of CVD. We sought to determine the association between carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (CFPWV) and SCORE. The study involved 1008 Krakow residents, and a random subsample of 3424 men and 3205 women who participated in Wave 2 of the Polish part of the Health, Alcohol, and Psychosocial factors in Eastern Europe (HAPIEE) study. At baseline we performed a medical interview, physical examination, evaluation of present comorbidities, medications using standardised methods. A follow-up of 4.9 years included measurement of CFPWV using an automatic, computerised Complior® system. Final analysis included 720 patients (378 women), aged 58.5 ± 6.5 years at baseline. In 488 individuals without his- tory of CVD and/or diabetes, SCORE was calculated. Median CFPWV was higher (p = 0.002) in men (12.5 m/s; interquartile range [IQR] 10.3-15.7) than in women (11.7 m/s; IQR 10.1-13.7). High CFPWV (> 10 m/s) was observed in 270 men (78.9%) and in 285 women (75.4%). We observed a strong association between high CVD risk (SCORE ≥ 5%) and high CFPWV (odds ratio 2.29; 95% confidence interval 1.17-4.46). The CFPWV cut-off value to differentiate between patients with low and high CVD risk was 11.7 m/s (with 58.6% sensitivity and 71.3% specificity, AUC = 0.68). Our study is the first to describe the distribution of CFPWV in the adult Polish population. SCORE ≥ 5% pre- dicted high CFPWV in 4.9 years of follow-up, which was independent of other risk factors. CFPWV > 11.7 m/s was most valid in relation to high CVD risk.