Abstract
BackgroundEvidence of the short-term effects of ambient air pollution on the risk of ischemic stroke in low- and middle-income countries is limited and inconsistent. We aimed to examine the associations between air pollution and daily hospital admissions for ischemic stroke in China.Methods and findingsWe identified hospital admissions for ischemic stroke in 2014–2016 from the national database covering up to 0.28 billion people who received Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance (UEBMI) in China. We examined the associations between air pollution and daily ischemic stroke admission using a two-stage method. Poisson time-series regression models were firstly fitted to estimate the effects of air pollution in each city. Random-effects meta-analyses were then conducted to combine the estimates. Meta-regression models were applied to explore potential effect modifiers. More than 2 million hospital admissions for ischemic stroke were identified in 172 cities in China. In single-pollutant models, increases of 10 μg/m3 in particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <2.5 μm (PM2.5), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3) and 1 mg/m3 in carbon monoxide (CO) concentrations were associated with 0.34% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.20%–0.48%), 1.37% (1.05%–1.70%), 1.82% (1.45%–2.19%), 0.01% (−0.14%–0.16%), and 3.24% (2.05%–4.43%) increases in hospital admissions for ischemic stroke on the same day, respectively. SO2 and NO2 associations remained significant in two-pollutant models, but not PM2.5 and CO associations. The effect estimates were greater in cities with lower air pollutant levels and higher air temperatures, as well as in elderly subgroups. The main limitation of the present study was the unavailability of data on individual exposure to ambient air pollution.ConclusionsAs the first national study in China to systematically examine the associations between short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and ischemic stroke, our findings indicate that transient increase in air pollution levels may increase the risk of ischemic stroke, which may have significant public health implications for the reduction of ischemic stroke burden in China.
Highlights
Stroke is a major public health concern that caused 6.5 million deaths and 113 million disability-adjusted life years worldwide in 2013 [1]
As the first national study in China to systematically examine the associations between short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and ischemic stroke, our findings indicate that transient increase in air pollution levels may increase the risk of ischemic stroke, which may have significant public health implications for the reduction of ischemic stroke burden in China
Our results indicated that short-term exposures to PM2.5, sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO) were associated with increased hospital admissions for ischemic stroke
Summary
Stroke is a major public health concern that caused 6.5 million deaths and 113 million disability-adjusted life years worldwide in 2013 [1]. Epidemiological studies have examined the associations between short-term increases in ambient air pollution and risk of mortality and morbidity from ischemic stroke (and the predominant subtype of stroke), but the findings have been inconsistent [2,3,4,5,6,7]. Previous studies on the acute effects of ambient air pollution on ischemic stroke have been primarily conducted in high-income countries, with only limited information from low- and middle-income countries, despite the much higher air pollution levels in these countries. A systematic review of studies on the associations between short-term exposure to air pollution and risk of stroke indicated the scarcity of scientific evidence generated in low- or middleincome countries [7]. Evidence of the short-term effects of ambient air pollution on the risk of ischemic stroke in low- and middle-income countries is limited and inconsistent.
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