Abstract

To determine the inter-relationships between five first-trimester biomarkers (pregnancy associated plasma protein A [PAPP-A], alpha-fetoprotein [AFP], beta human chorionic gonadotrophin [beta-hCG], placenta growth factor [PlGF] and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase receptor-1 [sFlt-1]) and a range of adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs). Prospective cohort study of nulliparous singleton pregnancy. Cambridge, UK. 4056 pregnancy outcome prediction study participants. The biomarker concentrations were measured in maternal serum at ~12 weeks of gestation. Univariable analysis of APOs was performed using logistic regression. Multivariable analysis used best subsets logistic regression with cross-validation. Pre-eclampsia (PE), small for gestational age (SGA), including severe SGA (birthweight <3rd), fetal growth restriction (FGR), preterm birth (PTB, both induced and spontaneous [iPTB and sPTB, respectively]), pre-viable loss and stillbirth, plus combinations of outcomes. Lower values of PAPP-A, PlGF and sFlt-1 and higher values of AFP were associated with FGR (OR for 1 SD higher value 0.59 [95% CI 0.48-0.74], OR 0.56 [95% CI 0.44-0.70], OR 0.68 [95% CI 0.54-0.87] and OR 1.53 [95% CI 1.25-1.88]), severe SGA (OR0.59 [95% CI 0.49-0.72], OR 0.71 [95% CI 0.57-0.87], OR 0.74 [95% CI 0.60-0.91] and OR 1.41 [95% CI 1.17-1.71]), sPTB (OR 0.61 [95% CI 0.50-0.73], OR 0.79 [95% CI 0.66-0.96], OR 0.57 [95% CI 0.47-0.70] and OR 1.41 [95% CI 1.18-1.67]) and iPTB (OR 0.72 [95% CI 0.57-0.91], OR 0.62 [95% CI 0.49-0.78], OR 0.71 [95% CI 0.56-0.90] and OR 1.44 [95% CI 1.16-1.78]), respectively. When combinations of biomarkers were assessed, PAPP-A and AFP were independently associated with severe SGA; PAPP-A alone with PE + PTB; PlGF alone with severe PE; PlGF, beta-hCG, AFP and PAPP-A with the combination of PE and SGA; AFP and sFlt-1 with sPTB; and AFP and PlGF with iPTB. Combinations of first-trimester placental biomarkers are associated with APOs. However, the patterns vary for different types of APO, indicating heterogeneity in the underlying pathophysiological pathways.

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