Abstract

The NASA Catchment land surface model (CLSM) is the land model component used for the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA). Here, the CLSM versions of MERRA and MERRA-Land are evaluated using snow cover fraction (SCF) observations from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). Moreover, a computationally-efficient empirical scheme is designed to improve CLSM estimates of SCF, snow depth, and snow water equivalent (SWE) through the assimilation of MODIS SCF observations. Results show that data assimilation (DA) improved SCF estimates compared to the open-loop model without assimilation (OL), especially in areas with ephemeral snow cover and mountainous regions. A comparison of the SCF estimates from DA against snow cover estimates from the NOAA Interactive Multisensor Snow and Ice Mapping System showed an improvement in the probability of detection of up to 28% and a reduction in false alarms by up to 6% (relative to OL). A comparison of the model snow depth estimates against Canadian Meteorological Centre analyses showed that DA successfully improved the model seasonal bias from −0.017 m for OL to −0.007 m for DA, although there was no significant change in root-mean-square differences (RMSD) (0.095 m for OL, 0.093 m for DA). The time-average of the spatial correlation coefficient also improved from 0.61 for OL to 0.63 for DA. A comparison against in situ SWE measurements also showed improvements from assimilation. The correlation increased from 0.44 for OL to 0.49 for DA, the bias improved from −0.111 m for OL to −0.100 m for DA, and the RMSD decreased from 0.186 m for OL to 0.180 m for DA.

Highlights

  • Seasonal snow cover has a significant impact on global climatological and hydrological processes [1]

  • The two model versions use different values for the SWE_min parameter, which represents the minimum amount of snow water equivalent (SWE) required to achieve full snow cover

  • The parameter values investigated here were used in the original Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) reanalysis (CLSM-MERRA: SWE_min = 13 kg m−2) and in MERRA-Land (CLSM-MLand: 26 kg m−2), with the latter value still being used in the current MERRA-2

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Summary

Introduction

Seasonal snow cover has a significant impact on global climatological and hydrological processes [1]. Seasonal snow cover extent (SCE) exerts control over climate variability and change because of the physical properties of the snow cover, such as high albedo, high thermal infrared emissivity, low thermal conductivity, and latent heat sink [2]. Due to the positive temperature-snow albedo feedback, snow acts to amplify perturbations in the global atmospheric circulation [3,4,5]. Snow acts as a frozen storage term in the water budget and is important for hydroelectric power, fresh water supply, irrigation, streamflow control, and flood preparedness. Predicting SCE, snow water equivalent (SWE), and the onset of melting is essential for hydrological and water resources management in many regions. Snow cover fraction (SCF), the fraction of unit land area covered by snow [12,13,14], is an important parameter that impacts the surface energy exchange, and, in the case of rain-on-snow events, determines how much liquid precipitation falls on snow-covered versus bare ground

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