Abstract

Temperature and humidity retrievals from an international network of ground‐based microwave radiometers (MWRs) have been collected to assess the potential of their assimilation into a convective‐scale numerical weather prediction (NWP) system. Thirteen stations over a domain encompassing the western Mediterranean basin were considered for a time period of 41 days in autumn, when heavy precipitation events most often plague this area.Prior to their assimilation, MWR data were compared to very‐short‐term forecasts. Observation‐minus‐background statistics revealed some biases, but standard deviations were comparable to that obtained with radiosondes. The MWR data were then assimilated in a three‐dimensional variational data assimilation system through the use of a rapid update cycle. A first set of four different experiments were designed to assess the impact of the assimilation of temperature and humidity profiles, both separately and jointly. This assessment was done through the use of a comprehensive dataset of upper‐air and surface observations collected in the framework of the HyMeX programme.The results showed that the impact was generally very limited on all verified parameters, except for precipitation. The impact was found to be generally beneficial in terms of most verification metrics for about 18 h, especially for larger accumulations. Two additional data‐denial experiments showed that even more positive impact could be obtained when MWR data were assimilated without other redundant observations. The conclusion of the study points to possible ways of enhancing the impact of the assimilation of MWR data in convective‐scale NWP systems.

Highlights

  • To cite this version: Olivier Caumont, Domenico Cimini, Ulrich Löhnert, Lucas Alados-Arboledas, René Bleisch, et al

  • Assimilation of humidity and temperature observations retrieved from ground-based microwave radiometers into a convective-scale numerical weather prediction (NWP) model†

  • Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society

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Summary

Experimental environment

This study has been carried out in preparation for HyMeX’s SOP 1, which was dedicated to the study of heavy precipitation and flash flooding in the northwestern Mediterranean. Such extreme events most often occur in autumn (Ricard et al, 2012). This is the reason why SOP 1 was held from 5 September to 5 November 2012. The experimental design that is described in the following was motivated by the occurrence of many heavy precipitation events (HPEs) during the autumn of 2011 and the concurrent availability of the Arome-WMed prototype and MWR data over the same period

Period under investigation
NWP system
Microwave radiometer observations
Monitoring of observations
Data assimilation experiments
Verification against upper-air observations
Verification against surface observations
Radiosonde data-denial experiments
Findings
Summary and discussion
Full Text
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