Assessment of waste characteristics and their impact on GIS vehicle collection route optimization using ANN waste forecasts

Abstract

Combining an artificial neural network (ANN) waste prediction model with a geographic information system (GIS) waste collection route optimization, the paper shows how the compositional features of waste materials affect the optimized truck route time, distance, and air emissions. Using data from Austin, Texas, USA, a nonlinear autoregressive ANN model is used to predict the waste generation rate of the recycling and garbage streams for the year 2023 in four sub-areas of the city. This ANN model resulted in mean absolute percentage errors ranging from 10.92% to 16.51%. Modified compositions of the recycling and garbage streams are then used as inputs, along with the year 2023 generation rates, to create 6 modified and 3 non-modified scenarios that reflect possible future changes in waste composition. These waste stream scenarios are then used as input parameters to determine optimal waste collection routes with minimal travel distance in each of the four sub-areas using the GIS vehicle routing problem network analysis tool. Results of these 36 scenarios yield changes in travel distance of up to 19.9%, when compared to the non-modified composition. Further, dual compartment trucks were compared to single compartment trucks and found to save between 10.3 and 16.0% in travel distance and slightly reduce emissions but had a 15.7–19.8% increase in collection time. Results suggest temporal changes in waste composition and characteristics are important in GIS route optimization studies.