Assessment of Thermal Comfort in an Electric Bus Based on Machine Learning Classification

Abstract

In electric buses, heating, ventilation and air conditioning are responsible for up to 50% of the energy consumption. It is therefore necessary to identify improved thermal settings to minimize the energy consumption, while guaranteeing good thermal comfort. Hence, an accurate prediction of the passengers’ thermal sensation (TS) is needed. One of the most widely used models for TS prediction is the PMV-PPD model, which has been shown to provide reliable results in uniform, steady-state climatic conditions. Since these are not present in an urban bus, the accuracy of the PMV-PPD model diminishes. Additionally, some of the parameters needed are difficult to obtain (i.e., clothing insulation). This paper presents seven different machine learning models (ML) for the prediction of TS using three different sets of parameters. The first set comprises five parameters similar to the PMV-PPD model, the second uses only two, and the third uses all parameters available. To obtain the necessary data, climatic measurements in an electric bus in Berlin, Germany, were made. These measurements were performed in summer for ambient temperatures between 14.7 °C and 32.0 °C. Person-related information as well as the thermal comfort assessment were obtained via surveys. Despite the relatively small data set, four of our seven ML models performed well with a median accuracy between 70.3% and 69.4%. This could also be observed when using only two parameters. Hence, the efforts to gain experimental data can be reduced significantly. For the PMV-PPD model, a median shift of +1 was observed for mild and warm TS. The median accuracy rises from 48.8% without shift to 68.8% with shift.