Abstract
The main pollution factors that influence the change in the ecological state of the eastern territories of Ukraine bordering with occupied are analyzed. The dynamics of changes in the level of concentration of pollutants due to flooding of mines, river pollution and rupture of shells has been revealed. The use of the Monte Carlo method at the stage of mathematical modeling is justified to determine the trend of changes in the ecological state of the monitoring object, based on which cartographic pollution models are constructed. Preconditions are examined that demonstrate the need to develop a new method for increasing the efficiency of decision-making in order to reduce the negative impact of changes in the ecosystems of border regions as a result of the impact of hostilities. The possibility of solving the problem was investigated by the methods of mathematical analysis, mathematical statistics, methods of cartography and GIS analysis. Visualization of research results is presented in the form of cartographic models in accordance with different levels of concentration of pollutants.
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