Abstract
The subject of the study is the demographic development of the regions of the Russian Federation. The dynamics of the key indicators at the federal and local levels define the relevance of the issue. State financial resources aimed at implementing measures to stimulate fertility growth and increase life expectancy often fall flat. The aim of the study is to determine the impact of the elements of the regional social infrastructure on demographic processes. The research methods follow from assessing particular parameters of social infrastructure development, and Rosstat statistical data for 2010–2018, as well as data by the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation. The authors carried out a structural, correlation data analysis, formed a complex of regression equations, and used the methods of normalization and ranking of indicators. The study resulted in an approach to the sequential convolution of particular indicators, which characterize the development of individual areas of social infrastructure, into integrated indicators for the considered areas; the following determination of the integral indicator of the development of regional social infrastructure as a whole. The authors calculated integral indicators of social infrastructure development for the identified areas in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. The scientific novelty of the approach consists in developing a set of integrated indicators, based on the assessment of social infrastructure development aimed at the indicators of natural and migration movement of the population. The authors concluded that the development of public policy measures in the field of demographic development, as well as an appropriate financial base, should consider the impact of social infrastructure elements on the components of demographic development. The results can be useful for building a comprehensive model of socio-economic development of the Russian regions.
Highlights
The research methods follow from assessing particular parameters of social infrastructure development, and Rosstat statistical data for 2010–2018, as well as data by the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation
The study resulted in an approach to the sequential convolution of particular indicators, which characterize the development of individual areas of social infrastructure, into integrated indicators for the considered areas; the following determination of the integral indicator of the development of regional social infrastructure as a whole
The scientific novelty of the approach consists in developing a set of integrated indicators, based on the assessment of social infrastructure development aimed at the indicators of natural and migration movement of the population
Summary
А Н Н ОТА Ц И Я Предметом исследования является проблема демографического развития регионов Российской Федерации. Цель исследования — определение влияния элементов социальной инфраструктуры региона на демографические процессы. Методы исследования базируются на оценке значений частных параметров развития социальной инфраструктуры, использовании статистических данных Росстата за 2010–2018 гг., а также данных Минфина РФ. Рассчитаны интегральные показатели уровня развития социальной инфраструктуры для выделенных направлений по субъектам Российской Федерации. Научная новизна предложенного подхода состоит в формировании комплекса интегральных показателей, исходя из ориентированности оценки развития социальной инфраструктуры на показатели естественного и миграционного движения населения. Ключевые слова: социальная инфраструктура; бюджетное финансирование; демографические процессы; корреляционный анализ; нормирование показателей; оказание услуг; регионы России. В. Оценка развития социальной инфраструктуры регионов России и ее влияние на демографические процессы.
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