Assessment of temperature and precipitation trends in Kashkadarya, Uzbekistan

Abstract

Climate change is one of the most important environmental issues that occur human-induced with large-scale social, economic, and environmental impacts. Climate models, which have been widely performed in the last decades, allow a study of change in climate variables and their impact on the environment. The present study was conducted to study changes in temperature and precipitation between 2006-2041 in the southern part of Uzbekistan. The results showed that the average temperature decreased from 14.53 °C during 2006-2010 to 14.40 °C during 2011-2015. Monthly average minimum temperature ranges (increases) from east to west in the region during all months of the year for both shared socio-economic pathways in 2021-2040. The minimum and maximum precipitation amount constituted 11.23 mm and 55.91 mm in the region, correspondingly within 2006-2010, whereas these amounts increased during the second period (2011-2015), 11.96 mm and 60.28 mm. Precipitation will not change sharply from SSP2.6 to SSP8.5 from 2021 to 2040.