Abstract

Microwave-based satellite rainfall products offer an opportunity to assess rainfall-related events for regions where rain-gauge stations are sparse, such as in Northeast Brazil (NEB). Accurate measurement of rainfall is vital for water resource managers in this semiarid region. In this work, the SM2RAIN-CCI rainfall data obtained from the inversion of the microwave-based satellite soil moisture (SM) observations derived from the European Space Agency (ESA) Climate Change Initiative (CCI), and ones from three state-of-the-art rainfall products (Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS), Climate Prediction Center Morphing Technique (CMORPH), and Multi-SourceWeighted-Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP)) were evaluated against in situ rainfall observations under different bioclimatic conditions at the NEB (e.g., AMZ, Amazônia; CER, Cerrado; MAT, Mata Atlântica; and CAAT, Caatinga). Comparisons were made at daily, 5-day, and 0.25° scales, during the time-span of 1998 to 2015. It was found that 5-day SM2RAIN-CCI has a reasonably good performance in terms of the correlation coefficient over the CER biome (R median: 0.75). In terms of the root mean square error (RMSE), it exhibits better performance in the CAAT biome (RMSE median: 12.57 mm). In terms of bias (B), the MSWEP, SM2RAIN-CCI, and CHIRPS datasets show the best performance in MAT (B median: −8.50%), AMZ (B median: −0.65%), and CER (B median: 0.30%), respectively. Conversely, CMORPH poorly represents the rainfall variability in all biomes, particularly in the MAT biome (R median: 0.43; B median: −67.50%). In terms of detection of rainfall events, all products show good performance (Probability of detection (POD) median > 0.90). The performance of SM2RAIN-CCI suggests that the SM2RAIN algorithm fails to estimate the amount of rainfall under very dry or very wet conditions. Overall, results highlight the feasibility of SM2RAIN-CCI in those poorly gauged regions in the semiarid region of NEB.

Highlights

  • Climate variability and extreme weather events threaten many populations around the world [1]

  • An intercomparison of 5-day accumulated rainfall estimates derived from SM2RAIN-Climate Change Initiative (CCI) with ones from the GBGR dataset were carried out in order to assess the quality of their rainfall estimates

  • In light of the daily comparisons, we found that CMORPH performed rather poorly (Table 10, and Figures 13 and 14), coinciding with findings from previous studies [48,78], possibly because it was only based on rainfall estimates from microwave sensors and geostationary satellite infrared sensors

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Summary

Introduction

Climate variability and extreme weather events threaten many populations around the world [1]. The accurate estimation of rainfall is of paramount importance for analyzing the spatial and temporal patterns of rainfall at various scales [7,8,9], and advancing our understanding of the effect of droughts and floods in Brazil. In NEB, conventional rain gauges are the main source of rainfall data [14,15]. Despite the efforts of the National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN), and other state climate agencies, most of the rain-gauge networks currently available are inadequate to produce reliable rainfall analysis, due to their scarce spatial coverage, high-proportion of missing data, and short-length records [16,17,18]

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