Assessment of shifts in mortality age profile of adult population in Moscow during pandemic

Abstract

Introduction. The COVID-19 pandemic induced the global crisis of mortality. Delayed medical care and reduced availability under quarantine restrictions have led to an increase in mortality not only from Covid-19, but also from chronic non-communicable diseases, affecting men and women of different ages to varying degrees. The study purpose is to assess shifts in mortality age profile of population aged 20+ in Moscow during COVID-19 pandemic. Materials and methods. Official vital statistics of Rosstat, operational information from civil registration database on death causes in Moscow. Results. The gain in mortality rate caused primarily by deaths from COVID-19 interrupted in 2020 the positive demographic dynamics that had developed over the previous years. In 2021, the increase in the mortality rate continued, but the loss of life expectancy was lower due to a decrease in mortality in older ages and the return of most indicators to the level of 2019. However, from a socio-economic point of view, the situation in 2021 developed more negatively, since the age structure of life expectancy losses is younger than in 2020. Limitations. The study results are based on operational information of the Moscow civil registration office and could be used for the development of managerial decisions for Moscow only. Conclusion. Against the pandemic demographic situation in Moscow has worsened. Due to mortality gain in the Russia’s capital first in the past years recorded natural population decline.