Abstract

Multiple studies demonstrate that narrow-linear strong disturbances triggered by pipeline engineering activities have resulted in rapid permafrost degradation. However, the extent, duration, and severity of permafrost disturbances induced by two parallel buried warm-oil pipelines remain unclear. Here, we examine the thermal disturbances of the China-Russia crude oil pipelines (CRCOPs I and II) on the surrounding permafrost. Ground temperature measurements on and off the right-of-way of the CRCOPs and an electrical resistivity tomography survey were conducted at a selected high-latitude wetland site in northeastern China. The observations showed that warm oil flow in pipelines dissipated heat to the surrounding soil, resulting in the thawing of underlying permafrost accompanied by the formation and development of thaw bulbs around the pipes. Currently, the thaw bulb of CRCOP-I was about four times as large as that of CRCOP-II, mainly due to the longer 7-year working duration of CRCOP-I. To quantify the permafrost disturbances around the pipeline, a conductive heat transfer model was established. A numerical simulation of the soil thermal regime around the pipeline suggested the initial growth of the thaw bulb was quite fast but gradually slowed with time, of which the shape was modified to ellipse from a semicircle. The existence of CRCOP-II would accelerate the warming of permafrost on the CRCOP-I right-of-way due to the small separation distance between them. We expect that the thaw bulbs of the two pipelines will expand larger than previously estimated due to the adverse effects of pipeline settlement and surface water flow, sparking a wider permafrost disturbance.

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