ASSESSMENT OF NIGERIA STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT ON GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

Abstract

The study looked at the evolution of the Nigerian stock market from 1990 to 2020 to determine whether there was any correlation and how it could aid in economic development. Expost facto research was employed for this study. From 1990 through 2020, a sample of stock market capitalisation and GDP at year-end is chosen. Stock market turnover ratio and stock market value traded ratio versus GDP were employed as measures of stock market development in the study. The R-squared value (0.705770) suggests that the exogenous variables (Stock Market Value Traded Ratio (VTR) and Stock Market Turnover Ratio (TOVR) in the model explain 71 percent of the total fluctuations in Gross Domestic Product. The Fstatistic (6.853455) shows that the entire model correctly and significantly explains the phenomena. The evidence from the long-run regression estimate demonstrates that Gross Domestic Product has a considerable positive effect on the Stock Market Value Traded Ratio (VTR) and Stock Market Turnover Ratio (TOVR). The Nigerian stock market is hence illiquid and has a high transaction cost. Low liquidity means that investors will have a harder time converting their stocks to cash. It is recommended that, in order to improve liquidity, the cost of transactions in the Nigerian stock market and the methodology used to determine stock prices be reviewed, among other things, to make raising capital more affordable.