Abstract

Current guidelines recommend brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for clinical management of patients with severe herpes simplex encephalitis (HSE). However, the prognostic value of brain imaging has not been demonstrated in this setting. To investigate the association between early brain MRI data and functional outcomes of patients with HSE at 90 days after intensive care unit (ICU) admission. This multicenter cohort study was conducted in 34 ICUs in France from 2007 to 2019 and recruited all patients who received a clinical diagnosis of encephalitis and exhibited cerebrospinal fluid positivity for herpes simplex virus DNA in the polymerase chain reaction analysis. Data analysis was performed from January to April 2020. All patients underwent a standard brain MRI during the first 30 days after ICU admission. MRI acquisitions were analyzed by radiologists blinded to patients' outcomes, using a predefined score. Multivariable logistic regression and supervised hierarchical classifiers methods were used to identify factors associated with poor outcome at 90 days, defined by a score of 3 to 6 (indicating moderate-to-severe disability or death) on the Modified Rankin Scale. Overall, 138 patients (median [interquartile range {IQR}] age, 62.6 [54.0-72.0] years; 75 men [54.3%]) with an admission median (IQR) Glasgow Coma Scale score of 9 (6-12) were studied. The median (IQR) delay between ICU admission and MRI was 1 (1-7) days. At 90 days, 95 patients (68.8%) had a poor outcome, including 16 deaths (11.6%). The presence of fluid-attenuated inversion recovery MRI signal abnormalities in more than 3 brain lobes (odds ratio [OR], 25.71; 95% CI, 1.21-554.42), age older than 60 years (OR, 7.62; 95% CI, 2.02-28.91), and the presence of diffusion-weighted MRI signal abnormalities in the left thalamus (OR, 6.90; 95% CI, 1.12-43.00) were independently associated with poor outcome. Machine learning models identified bilateral diffusion abnormalities as an additional factor associated with poor outcome (34 of 39 patients [87.2%] with bilateral abnormalities had poor outcomes) and confirmed the functional burden of left thalamic lesions, particularly in older patients (all 11 patients aged >60 years had left thalamic lesions). These findings suggest that in adult patients with HSE requiring ICU admission, extensive MRI changes in the brain are independently associated with poor functional outcome at 90 days. Thalamic diffusion signal changes were frequently observed and were associated with poor prognosis, mainly in older patients.

Highlights

  • Herpes simplex encephalitis (HSE) is the most frequently identified cause of sporadic necrotizing encephalitis worldwide.[1,2,3] In the absence of treatment, the prognosis of herpes simplex encephalitis (HSE) is extremely poor, with a mortality rate of approximately 70%.4 Improvement in diagnostic techniques and the advent of acyclovir treatment have decreased the mortality rate to 15%, but many patients are still left with substantial disability.[5,6,7,8] The identification of early and reliable indicators of outcomes in patients with severe HSE might constitute a game-changing factor, leading to more personalized intervention strategies

  • These findings suggest that in adult patients with HSE requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission, extensive magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) changes in the brain are independently associated with poor functional

  • Multicenter cohort study of patients with severe HSE, we aimed to investigate the association between early MRI data and patients’ functional outcomes at 90 days after intensive care unit (ICU) admission

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Summary

Introduction

Herpes simplex encephalitis (HSE) is the most frequently identified cause of sporadic necrotizing encephalitis worldwide.[1,2,3] In the absence of treatment, the prognosis of HSE is extremely poor, with a mortality rate of approximately 70%.4 Improvement in diagnostic techniques and the advent of acyclovir treatment have decreased the mortality rate to 15%, but many patients are still left with substantial disability.[5,6,7,8] The identification of early and reliable indicators of outcomes in patients with severe HSE might constitute a game-changing factor, leading to more personalized intervention strategies. Most of them are case reports that provided contradictory results regarding the prognostic value of MRI in this setting.[9,10] Most of the published cohort studies were small and did not find a significant association between MRI findings and clinical outcomes.[9,10,11] To our knowledge, only 1 large multicenter cohort study[17] has recently suggested that brain lesion extension on initial MRI was associated with worse outcomes but, this information was not available for all patients and was gathered from nonstandardized radiological assessments extracted from patients’ medical records and reviews. Despite its potential clinical usefulness, we clearly lack data on the value of early brain MRI data for the neuroprognostication of patients with HSE

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