Abstract
The socio-politically motivated energy transition leads to expansion of renewable energy power plants (REPP) and simultaneous shutdowns of conventional power plants. As the electric load always needs to be balanced by sufficient generation and the energy production by REPP cannot be steered adequate to the demand but depends on weather situations, new methods are needed to assess generation adequacy. These results could be used afterwards to define measures to ensure reliable energy supply.To evaluate the generation adequacy a joint probability distribution model is proposed. It models the dependencies of weather characteristics, the electrical load and unavailabilities of conventional power plants using pair-copula constructions. The model is, then, applied to determine the probability of generation imbalance. The implementation is shown for Germany in the scenario year 2030.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
