Abstract
A pressing statistical challenge in the field of mass spectrometry proteomics is how to assess whether a given software tool provides accurate error control. Each software tool for searching such data uses its own internally implemented methodology for reporting and controlling the error. Many of these software tools are closed source, with incompletely documented methodology, and the strategies for validating the error are inconsistent across tools. In this work, we identify three different methods for validating false discovery rate (FDR) control in use in the field, one of which is invalid, one of which can only provide a lower bound rather than an upper bound, and one of which is valid but under-powered. The result is that the field has a very poor understanding of how well we are doing with respect to FDR control, particularly for the analysis of data-independent acquisition (DIA) data. We therefore propose a new, more powerful method for evaluating FDR control in this setting, and we then employ that method, along with an existing lower bounding technique, to characterize a variety of popular search tools. We find that the search tools for analysis of data-dependent acquisition (DDA) data generally seem to control the FDR at the peptide level, whereas none of the DIA search tools consistently controls the FDR at the peptide level across all the datasets we investigated. Furthermore, this problem becomes much worse when the latter tools are evaluated at the protein level. These results may have significant implications for various downstream analyses, since proper FDR control has the potential to reduce noise in discovery lists and thereby boost statistical power.
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