ASSESSMENT OF CRISIS-FORMING FACTORS AS A MEANS OF MONITORING THREATS TO EFFECTIVE BODY SUPPORT OF NATIONAL GUARD OF UKRAINE MILITARY UNITS

Abstract

This article presents the development of theoretical and methodological provisions for methods of monitoring and assessing the level of impact of crisis-generating threats to the effective logistics of military units of the National Guard of Ukraine. The scientific novelty of the obtained results is the development of theoretical and methodological provisions for assessing the level of influence of crisis-forming factors of threats to the effective logistics of military units of the National Guard of Ukraine. The proposed classification of various factors may cause a crisis in the logistics of military units. An objective relationship between the threat of a crisis and the factors that give rise to it is presented in the form of a linear regression equation of functional relationships. The study proposes a formalized presentation of the system of objectives for assessing the level of impact of crisis-generating threats to the effective logistics of military units of the National Guard of Ukraine. In this article the economic-mathematical modeling of influence of crisis-forming factors of threats to effective logistics of military divisions of National guard of Ukraine in the form of game with opposite interests is carried out. In this regard, the paper proposes to use a certain principle of rational choice of player strategy. In the context of assessing the level of influence of crisis-forming factors of threats to effective logistics, the article considers and formally presents the principle of the most guaranteed result, which is used in case of insufficient awareness of the influence of factors. Similarly, the paper considers the principle of indicator behavior and performs its economic and mathematical representation. A mathematical representation of the optimization problem is proposed, in the arcs of which the volume of agreements of military units with stakeholders and the cost of implemented innovations are determined. The article focuses on the fact that local management of individual factors and groups does not give the maximum possible result due to the high importance of synergistic relationships. The possibility of obtaining a positive result in this work is largely determined by the integrated management of factors in order to effectively adapt to variations and influences of the environment. The practical significance of the obtained results is the formation of appropriate recommendations to the command of military units regarding the formation of a system of anti-crisis monitoring of the impact of crisis-forming factors of threats to effective logistics.