Assessment and improvement of RegCM 4.6 coupled with CLM4.5 in simulation of land surface temperature in mainland China

Abstract

Land surface temperature(LST) is an important indicator to study climate change and test the performance of regional climate model simulation. RegCM4.6 is the representative version of regional climate model RegCM, which is coupled with advanced third-generation land surface model NCAR CLM4.5. Currently, RegCM4.6 has become an important tool to study regional climate change in China. However, its ability to simulate land surface temperature in mainland China and the reasons for its deviation have not been systematically studied, and targeted improvement work is lacking. The present study is the first to employ LST data collected from 809 Chinese meteorological stations from the last 30 years to comprehensively assess the ability of CLM4.5 to simulate LST. Sensitivity tests of soil thermal conductivity (STC) were carried out to improve the model. Although the coupled regional climate model could accurately simulate the temporal and spatial variation of LST, a cold bias of 2~8 °C existed for all of mainland China, which was larger in seasons with more precipitation and greater soil moisture than other seasons. Deviation increased from southeast to northwest. which was caused by the incoming long-wave radiation, sensible heat, and latent heat simulated. There was a significant linear relationship between the observed and simulated LSTs, with correlation coefficients for all the stations ranged from 0.75 to 0.9 (P < 0.001). The observed LST increased at a rate of 0.58 °C/decade, but the simulated LST increased at a lower rate. Assessment of three different STC schemes showed that the Lu-Ren scheme was the most suitable for LST simulation in mainland China. Developing a new STC scheme that considers the role of water vapor can effectively improve the model when used in mainland China.