Assessing the winter indoor environment with different comfort metrics in self-built houses of hot-humid areas: Does undercooling matter for the elderly?

Abstract

Thermal comfort in housing is vital for well-being. Despite hot and humid regions experiencing shorter cold periods compared to heatwaves, vulnerable populations are susceptible to threats from cold snaps. However, existing research overlooks undercooling risks in hot regions during winter. This study examines self-built houses in densely populated, hot and humid areas, mainly occupied by elderly residents. We conducted an on-site measurement recording hourly indoor air temperature, humidity, and black globe temperature during wintertime. Two thermal comfort metrics (aPMV and adaptive regression model) and two resilience metrics (SET degree-hour, Hours of Safety) were used to quantify thermal conditions during cold periods under current and future climate conditions. The results show that undercooling hours in recent years exceed 90 % of wintertime using aPMV index and adaptive regression models. Under future climate scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways), undercooling hours only decrease by 10 %–25 % from 2020 to 2100 across all metrics. Extreme cold events in 2018 saw SET degree-hours double the thermal resilience threshold, while they pose health risks to the elderly for up to 21 days according to the HOS metrics. This study aims to identify the importance of addressing winter thermal comfort in hot and humid regions and to assess the risk posed by cold snaps to vulnerable populations. By quantifying these risks, the study contributes to better decision-making regarding hot-humid region housing thermal retrofit strategies for architects, engineers, and other stakeholders.