Assessing the Risk of Uncontrolled Space Debris Re-entry: A Case for Airspace Management and Flight Safety

Abstract

We explore the risks associated with uncontrolled space debris re-entry and the implications for airspace management and flight safety. With the increasing number of satellites and other objects being launched into space the potential for uncontrolled re-entry events poses a unique challenge for airspace management and public safety. While there have been no recorded instances of aircraft damage or human injury due to re-entering space debris, the increasing frequency of such events necessitates a comprehensive understanding of the associated risks and appropriate mitigation strategies. We briefly examine the current methods for tracking and predicting space debris re-entry, concentrating on the decision-making process for airspace closures, and the risk assessment for ground airborne safety. Our analysis aims to contribute to the ongoing dialogue on space debris management and to inform future policy and operational decisions in the context of civil aviation and public safety.