Abstract
Knowledge of mobility of some heavy metals in coal mining areas is fundamental in order to understand their toxicity and geochemical behavior. This paper aims to map pollution and assess the risk to agricultural soils in a wider lignite opencast mining and industrial area. Geochemical data related to environmental studies show that the waste characteristics favor solubilization and mobilization of inorganic contaminants. The geochemical distribution of soil pollution is studied by the application of the Bayesian Maximum Entropy (BME) procedure, a versatile extension of geostatistics which allows merging spatial and temporal estimations in a single model. Results reveal a correlation range of contaminants concentrations up to 5000 m and indicate a potential forecasting range of up to five years. Inspection of the produced spatiotemporal maps indicates that the whole study area is contaminated by As and various heavy metals, a situation which seems to be more or less stable over time.
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