Assessing the Influence of Shoreline Adaptation on Tidal Hydrodynamics: The Role of Shoreline Typologies

Abstract

AbstractIn coastal embayments, tidal dynamics are influenced by mean sea level and shoreline configuration. As sea levels rise and coastal communities modify their shorelines to mitigate future flooding, spatial patterns of inundation, tidal amplitude, and tidal phase will change in response. Here we apply a hydrodynamic model to systematically investigate the effect of local‐scale, spatially refined shoreline protection on regional tidal dynamics and peak water levels in San Francisco Bay, California. We find that individual shoreline protection scenarios produce relatively small changes in tidal amplitudes at 50 and 100 cm of sea‐level rise but can result in amplification of the M2 tide by up to 40% at 200 cm of sea‐level rise. Protection of shorelines with gradually sloping topography and space for floodwater accommodation generally has the largest influence on tidal response, both locally and regionally. In the northern part of San Francisco Bay, tides down‐estuary of protected shorelines move closer to a standing wave, while up‐estuary tides become more progressive. In the southern part of the bay, which is already close to a standing wave, effects are more localized and variable. Overall, the tidal response to shoreline protection is a function of both the geographic location within the embayment as well as the geomorphic characteristics of the local landscape that is protected. Understanding the relative influence of local shoreline modifications on tidal dynamics under a range of sea‐level rise scenarios is critical to developing effective shoreline adaptation alternatives that maximize flood mitigation.