Abstract

Climate change will affect future hygrothermal performance of buildings. This could lead to higher risks regarding energy optimization, thermal comfort and historic building conservation depending on the local climate, building construction and retrofit solutions adopted. This paper explores the risks brought by climate change on a typical residential historic building of South Tyrol. The results obtained show that, although the climate warming will reduce the future heating energy demand, an improvement of buildings’ energy performance will still be necessary to increase sustainability and ensure their continued use. Natural ventilation would suffice to prevent overheating in the studied location, but a further analysis is needed for warmer alpine regions. Regarding the moisture-related risks for the historic construction, mould growth should be considered when retrofitting a wooden wall and frost damage should be carefully studied in the case of sandstone walls.

Highlights

  • The severity and impact of climate change has been rigorously assessed in scientific literature

  • Climate change will affect future hygrothermal performance of buildings. This could lead to higher risks regarding energy optimization, thermal comfort and historic building conservation depending on the local climate, building construction and retrofit solutions adopted

  • This paper explores the risks brought by climate change on a typical residential historic building of South Tyrol

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Summary

Introduction

The severity and impact of climate change has been rigorously assessed in scientific literature. According to IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Fifth Assessment report [1], the increase of global surface temperature by the end of 21st century is expected to exceed 2.6 - 4.8 °C compared to 1986-2005 in the most pessimistic scenario. Together with this temperature increase, extreme climate events are expected to occur more frequently. It is likely that “extreme precipitation events will become more intense and frequent in many regions” [1]. Extreme precipitations will become more frequent in this Alpine region

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