Abstract

An objective and effective method to distinguish the influence of climate change and human activities on vegetation dynamics has great significance in the design and implementation of ecosystem restoration projects. Based on the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) remote data and the Miami and Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model, this study simulated and used net primary productivity (NPP) as an indicator to identify vegetation dynamics and their driving forces in the Jinghe River basin from 2000 to 2014. The results showed that: (1) The vegetation in the Jinghe River basin, which accounted for 84.4% of the study area, showed an increasing trend in NPP; (2) Human activities contributed most to vegetation restoration, which accounted for 54.5% of the areas; 24.0% of the areas showed an increasing trend in the NPP that was dominated by climate factors. Degradation dominated by human activities accounted for 4.3% of the study area, and degradation dominated by climate factors resulted in 17.2%; (3) The rate of vegetation degradation in areas dominated by climate factors rose with increased slope, where the arid climate caused shortages of water resources, and the human-dominated vegetation restoration activities exacerbated the vegetation’s water demand further, which surpassed the carrying capacity of regional water resources and led ultimately to vegetation degradation. We recommend that future ecological restoration programs pay more attention to maintaining the balance between ecosystem restoration and water resource demand to maximize the benefits of human activities and ensure the vegetation restoration is ecologically sustainable.

Highlights

  • Climate and human activities are the primary driving forces of changes in terrestrial ecosystems [1,2,3].Commonly, regional vegetation dynamics are related closely to changes in local climate conditions and human activities [4,5,6]

  • net primary productivity (NPP) in the basin studyfrom area2000 showed anwas increasing trend, an shown in

  • The results showed that the vegetation increased in the studystudy area, assessed and human played in anvegetation active role dynamics in the vegetation restoration, in 2000

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Summary

Introduction

Climate and human activities are the primary driving forces of changes in terrestrial ecosystems [1,2,3].Commonly, regional vegetation dynamics are related closely to changes in local climate conditions and human activities [4,5,6]. Our previous studies showed that the changes between different land use types contribute significantly to the changes in vegetation coverage, especially for the transformation between farmland and forests/grasslands, which were related closely to topographical factors; for example, the implementation of GGP requires that farmland with slopes between 15 to 25◦ are returned to grassland or forest, while farmland with slopes >25◦ should be returned to forest [15,16] These ecological restoration programs have increased the coverage and net primary productivity (NPP) of vegetation in the Loess Plateau and improved the local ecological environment gradually [17,18]. The results of studies such as this will help in the selection of suitable sites and methods for ecological restoration that are adapted to local climate conditions or mitigate the negative effects of human activities, and achieve sustainable development of regional ecological restoration [23,24]

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