Abstract

Data on the maximal runoff of rivers in the Don Basin during spring flood are generalized, the cases of nonstationarity of time series are identified along with periods when such changes have taken place. The obtained results are used to evaluate the characteristics of maximal flow of spring flood under nonstationary conditions with the use of Bayesian approach. The results are given as a map of the depths of maximal runoff of spring flood with 1% exceedance probability and recommended for hydrological calculations when designing water-management facilities.

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