Abstract

AbstractGiant seawalls have been constructed in areas stricken by the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake to protect nearby townships from tsunamis, but their construction has caused great controversy. This study conducted a survey using the best–worst scaling (BWS) method in Iwate and Miyagi Prefectures, where the seawalls are constructed to understand what specific factors citizens think should be taken into consideration during construction. The results revealed that the negative impacts on the natural environment and seawall height (safety) were ranked most highly. Additionally, the results of regression analysis with respondents’ B-W scores for the negative impacts on the natural environment and seawall height (safety) as the explained variables demonstrated that people who less strongly recognized the need for a seawall were more likely to think the negative impact on the natural environment should be taken into consideration than did people who strongly recognized the need for a seawall; however, people who did not know much about seawalls were more likely to think seawall height should be considered than people who did. The regression analysis also found that people who more strongly felt there was a need to build seawalls were more likely to think seawall height should be a key consideration, whereas people who personally had suffered harm in the tsunami following the Great East Japan Earthquake were more likely to think seawall height should be a key consideration than did those who were not personally affected.

Highlights

  • Following the Great East Japan Earthquake, which caused the death or disappearance of 18,425 people, Japan’s Central Disaster Management Council designated high-frequency but low-impact tsunamis that occur every few decades to 100 or so years as Level 1 (L1) Tsunamis, and low-frequency but high-impact giant tsunamis like the Great East Japan Earthquake tsunami that only occur once in several 100 or even 1000 years as Level 2 (L2) Tsunamis (Central Disaster Management Council 2011; Onuma 2015)

  • The authors used the best–worst scaling method to examine the preferences of citizens in Miyagi and Iwate Prefectures regarding the construction of seawalls

  • The results demonstrated that citizens believe that the negative impact on the natural environment and seawall height in particular should be taken into consideration during seawall construction

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Summary

Introduction

Following the Great East Japan Earthquake, which caused the death or disappearance of 18,425 people (as of March 10, 2021, according to a National Police Agency press release), Japan’s Central Disaster Management Council designated high-frequency but low-impact tsunamis that occur every few decades to 100 or so years as Level 1 (L1) Tsunamis, and low-frequency but high-impact giant tsunamis like the Great East Japan Earthquake tsunami that only occur once in several 100 or even 1000 years as Level 2 (L2) Tsunamis (Central Disaster Management Council 2011; Onuma 2015). The council determined to develop coastal protection facilities, including seawalls and seaside protection forests, to protect human life, safeguarding residents’ assets, stabilizing the regional economy, and securing efficient production bases if an L1 tsunami occurs. Because the prevention of an L2 tsunami using artificial structures is unrealistic both from the perspective of the costs required to maintain facilities and the impact on the coastal environments and their usage, the council limited the focus of tsunami countermeasures solely to the protection of residents’ lives related to evacuation (Central Disaster Management Council 2011; Onuma 2015). As a result of this catastrophic disaster, seawalls of up to 400 km in length have been constructed in approximately 600 locations across these prefectures, costing a total of approximately 1.3 trillion. The maximum seawall height is 15.5 m, which was established assuming an L1 tsunami and is not assumed to be able to withstand an L2 tsunami

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