Abstract

Background: Large data on the clinical characteristics and outcome of COVID-19 in the Indian population are scarce. We analyzed the factors associated with mortality in a cohort of moderately ill COVID-19 patients enrolled in a multicentre randomized trial on convalescent plasma.Methods: Demographic, clinical, laboratory, treatment, and outcome data were extracted from electronic records. Factors associated with mortality were explored using univariate and multivariable Cox regression analysis and expressed as hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).Findings: The mean (SD) age of the cohort (n=451) was 51±12·4 years; 76·7% were male. Admission SOFA score was 2·4±1·1. Non-invasive ventilation, invasive ventilation and vasopressor therapy were required in 98·9%, 8·4% and 4·0% respectively. The 28 day all-cause mortality was 14·4%. Median time from symptom onset to hospital admission was similar (p=1.0) in survivors (4 days; IQR 3-7) and non survivors (4 days; IQR 3-6). Patients with two or more co-morbidities had 2·25 (95%CI:1·17–4·32, p=0·014) times risk of death. When compared with survivors, admission IL-6 levels were higher (p2/FiO2 ratio10 (9·38, 3·67-24·0,p1·0mg/l (2·51,1·14-5·51,p=0·022), ferritin>500ng/ml (2·66,1·46-4·85,p=0·001) and LDH≥450 IU/L (2·96,1·61-5·45,p=0·001) were significantly associated with death.Interpretation: In this cohort of moderately ill COVID-19 patients, severity of illness, underlying co-morbidities and higher levels of inflammatory markers were significantly associated with death.Trial Registration: The trial protocol was registered with the Clinical Trial Registry of India (CTRI/2020/04/024775).Funding: This study was funded by Indian Council of Medical Research, an autonomous government funded medical research council.Declaration of Interests: No other author has any competing financial or non-financial interest.Ethics Approval Statement: Ethical approval was obtained from the ICMR Central Ethics Committee on Human Research 326 (CECHR-002/2020) as well as from the Institutional Review Boards (IRB) /Institutional Ethics 327 Committees of all the participating hospitals.

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