Abstract

Abstract. Trends of extreme-temperature episodes in cities are increasing (in frequency, magnitude and duration) due to regional climate change in interaction with urban effects. Urban morphologies and thermal properties of the materials used to build them are factors that influence spatial and temporal climate variability and are one of the main reasons for the climatic singularity of cities. This paper presents a methodology to evaluate the urban and peri-urban effect on extreme-temperature exposure in Barcelona (Spain), using the Local Climate Zone (LCZ) classification as a basis, which allows a comparison with other cities of the world characterised using this criterion. LCZs were introduced as input of the high-resolution UrbClim model (100 m spatial resolution) to create daily temperature (median and maximum) series for summer (JJA) during the period 1987 to 2016, pixel by pixel, in order to create a cartography of extremes. Using the relationship between mortality due to high temperatures and temperature distribution, the heat exposure of each LCZ was obtained. Methodological results of the paper show the improvement obtained when LCZs were mapped through a combination of two techniques (land cover–land use maps and the World Urban Database and Access Portal Tools – WUDAPT – method), and the paper proposes a methodology to obtain the exposure to high temperatures of different LCZs in urban and peri-urban areas. In the case of Barcelona, the distribution of temperatures for the 90th percentile (about 3–4 ∘C above the average conditions) leads to an increase in the relative risk of mortality of 80 %.

Highlights

  • Alterations to the natural environment associated with urban activity mean that climate variability in urban landscapes is more complex than in peri-urban and rural areas

  • A geographic information system methodology based on land cover and land use (LCLU) maps has been applied to the entire AMB to improve the precision of the international World Urban Database and Access Portal Tools (WUDAPT) method

  • Each RR interval has been associated with a heat exposure index (HEI) that includes temperature intervals based on the curve of Achebak et al (2018)

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Summary

Introduction

Alterations to the natural environment associated with urban activity mean that climate variability in urban landscapes is more complex than in peri-urban and rural areas. Urban areas are certainly more exposed and vulnerable to the negative effects of climate change due to their non-sustainable relationship with surrounding areas and environments. The Urban Climate Change Research Network’s Second Assessment Report on Climate Change in Cities (ARC3.2) (Rosenzweig et al, 2018) places the average annual temperature increase ratio per decade between 0.1 and 0.5 ◦C in the period from 1961 to 2010 in the cities it analysed. Urban landscapes are sensitive to rising temperatures at all timescales (Pachauri et al, 2014). Heat waves (HWs) are one of the deadliest weather events, and their frequency, intensity and duration are expected to increase in the future due to climate change (Li and Bou-Zeid, 2013; De Jarnett and Pittman, 2017; Sheridan and Dixon, 2016) and the urban-heat-island (UHI) effect.

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