Assessing drought vulnerability using geospatial techniques in northwestern part of Bangladesh

Abstract

Drought is a damaging and costly natural disaster that frequently affects many climatic regions in the world. A multi-criteria-based approach for integrated spatial drought vulnerability mapping that combines all drought categories is required to generate detailed vulnerability information for formulating drought mitigation strategies. This study presents a spatial multi-criteria integrated approach for mapping comprehensive drought vulnerability using geospatial techniques and an analytical hierarchy process (AHP). The developed approach was applied in the northwestern region of Bangladesh to justify its applicability. A total of 17 criteria under 4 drought categories, namely, meteorological, agricultural, hydrological and socio-economic, were selected. Moreover, spatial layers for each criterion were developed. AHP was used to calculate the weights for each criterion and drought types using pair-wise comparison matrices. Individual categories of drought and overall drought vulnerability maps were developed using the weighted overlay technique by integrating the corresponding criteria. The produced maps effectively defined the spatial extents and levels (e.g. normal, mild, moderate, severe and extreme) of drought vulnerability. Results demonstrated that approximately 77% of the total area of the north-western region of Bangladesh was moderately to extremely vulnerable to drought. The output of the developed approach was successfully validated using the receiver operating characteristics and area under the curve techniques. The findings suggest that the proposed approach is highly effective in mapping comprehensive drought vulnerability for formulating strong drought mitigation strategies.