Assessing critical loads and exceedances for acidification and eutrophication in the forests of East and Southeast Asia: A comparison with EANET monitoring data

Abstract

Spatial variations in sulfur (S) and nitrogen (N) deposition have changed in East and Southeast Asia in recent decades. Nevertheless, in this region, including the tropics, regional-scale assessments of the long-term risk of acidification and eutrophication (N saturation) for terrestrial ecosystems using a critical load approach have not been updated since 2001. To evaluate future risks, maps of critical loads and exceedances were updated using recently acquired spatial datasets of soil properties, soil minerals, climate, tree plantations, and the annual S and N depositions estimated using the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model. The resulting maps were verified using data on long-term trends in soil pH and nitrate concentration in surface water acquired by the Acid Deposition Monitoring Network in East Asia (EANET). It was found that N deposition exceeded the critical load for eutrophication not only in East Asia but also in some parts of the tropical monsoon and humid regions in Southeast Asia, whereas S deposition partly exceeded the critical load for soil acidification in China and small parts of the tropical monsoon region. The high-risk areas for eutrophication coincided well with the EANET sites, where the increase in nitrate concentration in the surface water was significant over the last 20 years. Hence, the estimated map of the critical load exceedance for eutrophication is more plausible for assessing the risk in East and Southeast Asia than that for acidification, although the critical load exceedance for acidification would be sufficiently significant as an updated risk map based on the latest input values. This update also suggests that increased N deposition around megacities, water discharge, and tree plantations may play an important role in the spatial variability of eutrophication risks in the tropics of Southeast Asia.