Abstract

A calibrated computational model reflects behaviours that are expected or observed in a complex system, providing a baseline upon which sensitivity analysis techniques can be used to analyse pathways that may impact model responses. However, calibration of a model where a behaviour depends on an intervention introduced after a defined time point is difficult, as model responses may be dependent on the conditions at the time the intervention is applied. We present ASPASIA (Automated Simulation Parameter Alteration and SensItivity Analysis), a cross-platform, open-source Java toolkit that addresses a key deficiency in software tools for understanding the impact an intervention has on system behaviour for models specified in Systems Biology Markup Language (SBML). ASPASIA can generate and modify models using SBML solver output as an initial parameter set, allowing interventions to be applied once a steady state has been reached. Additionally, multiple SBML models can be generated where a subset of parameter values are perturbed using local and global sensitivity analysis techniques, revealing the model’s sensitivity to the intervention. To illustrate the capabilities of ASPASIA, we demonstrate how this tool has generated novel hypotheses regarding the mechanisms by which Th17-cell plasticity may be controlled in vivo. By using ASPASIA in conjunction with an SBML model of Th17-cell polarisation, we predict that promotion of the Th1-associated transcription factor T-bet, rather than inhibition of the Th17-associated transcription factor RORγt, is sufficient to drive switching of Th17 cells towards an IFN-γ-producing phenotype. Our approach can be applied to all SBML-encoded models to predict the effect that intervention strategies have on system behaviour. ASPASIA, released under the Artistic License (2.0), can be downloaded from http://www.york.ac.uk/ycil/software.

Highlights

  • To ensure that computational and mathematical models exhibit expected or observed biological behaviours, a process of calibration is employed to assign values to model parameters for which values are unknown

  • IL-12 drives the differentiation of Th1 cells that secrete IFN-γ and express T-bet, IL-4 drives the differentiation of Th2 cells that secrete IL-4 and express GATA-3, and a combination of IL-6 and TGF-β, along with IL-21 and IL-23 are responsible for the differentiation, maintenance and expansion of Th17 cells that secrete IL-17, IL-21, and express RORγt [19, 20]

  • We have developed an Systems Biology Markup Language (SBML) model to capture in silico the dynamics of Th17-cell plasticity in vivo (Fig 2B)

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Summary

Introduction

To ensure that computational and mathematical models exhibit expected or observed biological behaviours, a process of calibration is employed to assign values to model parameters for which values are unknown. ASPASIA toolkit for evaluating effects of biological interventions in SBML models providing one local and two global sensitivity analysis techniques, with the latter two consisting of one sampling and one variance-based approach, ASPASIA provides a suitable set of tools for understanding model behaviour in a non-context dependent manner [2].

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