Abstract

The author considers the validity of the widespread assumptions that Asia is on the path to unending growth and success and that the 21st century, will be Asia's century. In fact this success is relatively recent and restricted to a handful of countries rather than applying to Asia as a whole. For the future the main determinants of Asia's continuing prosperity will be thorough and far-reaching economic restructuring, improved governance, operating in a way which enables change rather than stifles it and the preservation of that peace and stability in the region which has been the single most important factor in Asia's renaissance hitherto. Continuing US involvement will be required. That said, there are reasonable grounds for confidence in the abilities of Asia and the Asians.

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