Abstract
The land use particularities in island areas make it necessary to reestablish a method to ascertain the carrying capacity of island land. Based on both the natural and economic attributes of land, in this paper we propose one such method. We examine Chusan, a prefecture-level coastal city in southeast China, using this method. We find that the carrying capacities of land in Chusan in 2015, 2020, and 2030 are 2.34 million, 3.12 million, and 4.65 million, respectively. In the long-term, the land economic carrying capacities are the main restricting factors. Correspondingly, the predicted population of Chusan is 1.15 million, 1.21 million, and 1.33 million, respectively. The results show that the population carrying capacity of Chusan can fully satisfy the needs associated with a population increase, economic development, and improvement in living quality.
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