Abstract

Objective To evaluate the ability of artificial neural network- (ANN-) based ultrasound radiomics to predict large-volume lymph node metastasis (LNM) preoperatively in clinical N0 disease (cN0) papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients. Methods From January 2020 to April 2021, 306 cN0 PTC patients admitted to our hospital were retrospectively reviewed and divided into a training (n = 183) cohort and a validation cohort (n = 123) in a 6 : 4 ratio. Radiomic features quantitatively extracted from ultrasound images were pruned to train one ANN-based radiomic model and three conventional machine learning-based classifiers in the training cohort. Furthermore, an integrated model using ANN was constructed for better prediction. Meanwhile, the prediction of the two models was evaluated in the papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and conventional papillary thyroid cancer (CPTC) subgroups. Results The radiomic model showed better discrimination than other classifiers for large-volume LNM in the validation cohort, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.856 and an area under the precision-recall curve (AUPR) of 0.381. The performance of the integrated model was better, with an AUROC of 0.910 and an AUPR of 0.463. According to the calibration curve and decision curve analysis, the radiomic and integrated models had good calibration and clinical usefulness. Moreover, the models had good predictive performance in the PTMC and CPTC subgroups. Conclusion ANN-based ultrasound radiomics could be a potential tool to predict large-volume LNM preoperatively in cN0 PTC patients.

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