Abstract

Background Clinical Artificial intelligence (AI) has reached a critical inflection point. Advances in algorithmic science and increased understanding of operational considerations in AI deployment are opening the door to widespread clinical pathway transformation. For surgery in particular, the application of machine learning algorithms in fields such as computer vision and operative robotics are poised to radically change how we screen, diagnose, risk-stratify, treat and follow-up patients, in both pre- and post-operative stages, and within operating theatres. Summary In this paper, we summarise the current landscape of existing and emerging integrations within complex surgical care pathways. We investigate effective methods for practical use of AI throughout the patient pathway, from early screening and accurate diagnosis to intraoperative robotics, post-operative monitoring and follow-up. Horizon scanning of AI technologies in surgery is used to identify novel innovations that can enhance surgical practice today, with potential for paradigm shifts across core domains of surgical practice in the future. Any AI-driven future must be built on responsible and ethical usage, reinforced by effective oversight of data governance, and of risks to patient safety in deployment. Implementation is additionally bound to considerations of usability and pathway feasibility, and the need for robust healthcare technology assessment and evidence generation. While these factors are traditionally seen as barriers to translating AI into practice, we discuss how holistic implementation practices can create a solid foundation for scaling AI across pathways. Key Messages The next decade will see rapid translation of experimental development into real-world impact. AI will require evolution of work practices, but will also enhance patient safety, enhance surgical quality outcomes, and provide significant value for surgeons and health systems. Surgical practice has always sat on a bedrock of technological innovation. For those that follow this tradition, the future of AI in surgery starts now.

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