Abstract

ObjectiveThis study aimed to develop and validate several artificial intelligence (AI) models to identify acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients at an increased risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) during hospitalization. MethodsIncluded were patients diagnosed with AMI from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) III and IV databases. Two cohorts of AMI patients from Changzhou Second People's Hospital and Xuzhou Center Hospital were used for external validation of the models. Patients' demographics, vital signs, clinical characteristics, laboratory results, and therapeutic measures were extracted. Totally, 12 AI models were developed. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were calculated and compared. ResultsAKI occurred during hospitalization in 1098 (28.3 %) of the 3882 final enrolled patients, split into training (3105) and test (777) sets randomly. Among them, Random Forest (RF), C5.0 and Bagged CART models outperformed the other models in both the training and test sets. The AUCs for the test set were 0.754, 0.734 and 0.730, respectively. The incidence of AKI was 9.8 % and 9.5 % in 2202 patients in the Changzhou cohort and 807 patients in the Xuzhou cohort with AMI, respectively. The AUCs for patients in the Changzhou cohort were RF, 0.761; C5.0, 0.733; and bagged CART, 0.725, respectively, and Xuzhou cohort were RF, 0.799; C5.0, 0.808; and bagged CART, 0.784, respectively. ConclusionSeveral machines learning-based prediction models for AKI after AMI were developed and validated. The RF, C5.0 and Bagged CART model performed robustly in identifying high-risk patients earlier. Clinical trial approval statementThis Trial was registered in the Chinese clinical trials registry: ChiCTR1800014583. Registered January 22, 2018 (http://www.chictr.org.cn/searchproj.aspx).

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